Bitcoin price Above/below·closes in 5d

Bitcoin price on Sep 25, 2026?

YES means $77,000 or above

24h volume
6,448
13.5k lifetime
Open interest
10.9k
Spread
4,682 × 4,793 at the touch
24h range
85¢ – 92¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
89%+3

A YES contract costs 92¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
11%

costs 10¢

YES bid / ask
90¢ / 92¢
NO bid / ask
/ 10¢
24h low 85¢24h high 92¢
Recent buying6% YES · 94% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,20498¢
  • ask81197¢
  • ask50096¢
  • ask41095¢
  • ask3,40694¢
  • ask8,32393¢
  • ask4,79392¢
spreadmid 91¢
  • bid4,68290¢
  • bid2,63489¢
  • bid8,15288¢
  • bid187¢
  • bid380¢
  • bid1050¢
  • bid1120¢
  • bid6.7316¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 76999.99 at 5 PM EDT on Sep 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 18 · 8:00 PM UTC
closes
Sep 25 · 9:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 25 · 9:05 PM UTC
floor
76999.99
ticker
KXBTCD-26SEP2517-T76999.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 6% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1h ago89¢1,241bought no
1h ago89¢3.95bought no
1h ago89¢295bought no
2h ago91¢87bought yes
3h ago89¢10bought no
3h ago90¢13bought yes
4h ago88¢2bought yes
4h ago89¢1bought no
4h ago91¢9bought no
5h ago90¢5bought no
5h ago92¢86bought yes
5h ago92¢10bought yes
5h ago92¢98bought yes
5h ago90¢100bought no
5h ago90¢198bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.