Will Bitcoin be above $100000 by October 1, 2026 at 12:00AM ET?
YES means Before October 2026
- 24h volume
- 0
- 1.92M lifetime
- Open interest
- 1.02M
- Spread
- 100¢
- 0 × 0 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
A YES contract costs 100¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 100¢
This market is closed and resolved NO. Prices shown are the last ones traded.
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $100000.00 starting 02/17/2026 04:00 PM and before Oct 1, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
The market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation. The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values. If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves. If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No. The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time.
- opened
- Feb 17 · 9:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Oct 1 · 4:00 AM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 1, 2027 · 5:00 AM UTC
- floor
- 100000
- ticker
- KXBTCMAX100-26-SEP
Other outcomes in this event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.