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will Bitcoin hit price target by date·closes in 3mo

Will Bitcoin be above $130,000 by Jan 21, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET?

YES means By Jan 21, 2027

24h volume
0
5,605 lifetime
Open interest
4,017
+0 over 24h
Spread
2¢
500 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
5%

A YES contract costs 5¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
95%

costs 97¢

YES bid / ask
3¢ / 5¢
NO bid / ask
95¢ / 97¢
Recent buying72% YES · 28% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢volNov 4, 6:50 AMNov 4, 5:03 PM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask197¢
  • ask1,56418¢
  • ask3,2006¢
  • ask55¢
spread2¢mid 4¢
  • bid5003¢
  • bid1,0002¢
  • bid3,3871¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $130000 starting Sep 22, 2026 and before Jan 21, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

The market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation. The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values. If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves. If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No. The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 22 · 7:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 21, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jul 8, 2027 · 2:00 PM UTC
floor
130000
ticker
KXBTCPRICE-130000-27JAN21
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 72% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1d ago5¢94bought yes
2d ago5¢200bought yes
3d ago5¢200bought yes
3d ago5¢738bought yes
3d ago5¢19bought yes
7d ago4¢200bought no
7d ago1¢199bought no
7d ago3¢89bought no
7d ago3¢15bought no
7d ago2¢10bought no
8d ago6¢5.12bought yes
8d ago6¢200bought yes
8d ago6¢1,359bought yes
14d ago3¢5.22bought no
15d ago8¢12bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.