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will Bitcoin hit price target by date·closes in 8mo

Will Bitcoin be above $130,000 by Jul 8, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET?

YES means By Jul 8, 2027

24h volume
1,797
40.7k lifetime
Open interest
22.7k
Spread
4¢
290 × 1 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
25%+4

A YES contract costs 25¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
75%

costs 79¢

YES bid / ask
21¢ / 25¢
NO bid / ask
75¢ / 79¢
Recent buying66% YES · 34% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask3562¢
  • ask3.4957¢
  • ask3.5256¢
  • ask6748¢
  • ask1031¢
  • ask2028¢
  • ask3,20026¢
  • ask125¢
spread4¢mid 23¢
  • bid29021¢
  • bid36720¢
  • bid6919¢
  • bid3,10018¢
  • bid516¢
  • bid84015¢
  • bid514¢
  • bid513¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $130000 starting Sep 22, 2026 and before Jul 8, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

The market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation. The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values. If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves. If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No. The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 22 · 7:00 PM UTC
closes
Jul 8, 2027 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jul 8, 2027 · 2:00 PM UTC
floor
130000
ticker
KXBTCPRICE-130000-27JUL08
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 66% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
19m ago24¢3bought yes
19m ago25¢24bought yes
19m ago24¢26bought yes
19m ago24¢20bought yes
19m ago24¢26bought yes
30m ago24¢0.07bought yes
30m ago23¢51bought yes
30m ago23¢1.6bought yes
30m ago23¢43bought yes
30m ago23¢23bought yes
30m ago24¢271bought yes
50m ago21¢8.62bought no
1h ago22¢8.62bought yes
2h ago23¢8.25bought yes
2h ago23¢8.25bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.