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will Bitcoin hit price target by date·closes in 6mo

Will Bitcoin be above $130,000 by May 13, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET?

YES means By May 13, 2027

24h volume
359
3,741 lifetime
Open interest
2,147
+402 over 7d
Spread
6¢
212 × 2,801 at the touch
24h range
11¢ – 18¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
18%+2

A YES contract costs 18¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
82%

costs 88¢

YES bid / ask
12¢ / 18¢
NO bid / ask
82¢ / 88¢
24h low 11¢24h high 18¢
Recent buying77% YES · 23% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
5¢10¢15¢20¢25¢volOct 29Nov 5

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5367¢
  • ask45166¢
  • ask9.4560¢
  • ask8948¢
  • ask7.8436¢
  • ask15521¢
  • ask13320¢
  • ask2,80118¢
spread6¢mid 15¢
  • bid21212¢
  • bid6011¢
  • bid3,12010¢
  • bid59¢
  • bid58¢
  • bid57¢
  • bid506¢
  • bid515¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $130000 starting Sep 22, 2026 and before May 13, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

The market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation. The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values. If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves. If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No. The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 22 · 7:00 PM UTC
closes
May 13, 2027 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jul 8, 2027 · 2:00 PM UTC
floor
130000
ticker
KXBTCPRICE-130000-27MAY13
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 77% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3h ago18¢199bought yes
3h ago17¢12bought yes
7h ago18¢38bought yes
7h ago12¢22bought yes
11h ago12¢78bought yes
21h ago11¢2bought no
21h ago11¢8.17bought no
1d ago15¢2bought yes
1d ago16¢4.01bought yes
2d ago11¢5.55bought no
2d ago11¢30bought no
2d ago16¢30bought yes
3d ago16¢5.9bought yes
4d ago11¢1.25bought no
4d ago15¢1.25bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.