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BTC price range EOY·closes in 2mo

BTC price on Jan 1, 2027?

YES means 55,000 to 59,999.99

24h volume
5,497
2.52M lifetime
Open interest
419.4k
+21.7k over 7d
Spread
0¢
616 × 1,053 at the touch
24h range
2¢ – 4¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
2%−2

A YES contract costs 2¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
98%

costs 98¢

YES bid / ask
2¢ / 2¢
NO bid / ask
98¢ / 98¢
24h low 2¢24h high 4¢
Recent buying6% YES · 94% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢volOct 29Nov 5

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask473¢
  • ask343¢
  • ask253¢
  • ask673¢
  • ask122¢
  • ask102¢
  • ask0.012¢
  • ask1,0532¢
spread0¢mid 2¢
  • bid6162¢
  • bid1,5002¢
  • bid1,6002¢
  • bid1,8002¢
  • bid152¢
  • bid1,5061¢
  • bid2,5721¢
  • bid1,3921¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12 AM EST is between 55000.00-59999.99 at 12 AM EST on Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Feb 25 · 11:25 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2027 · 5:05 AM UTC
floor
55000
cap
59999.99
ticker
KXBTCY-27JAN0100-B57500
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 98¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 6% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
4h ago2¢500bought no
4h ago2¢5.44bought no
5h ago2¢7.48bought yes
5h ago2¢500bought no
5h ago2¢7bought no
6h ago2¢500bought no
8h ago2¢7.79bought no
8h ago2¢5.43bought no
8h ago2¢20bought no
8h ago2¢10bought no
8h ago2¢50bought no
8h ago2¢4.27bought no
8h ago2¢38bought no
8h ago2¢2.16bought no
8h ago2¢2.82bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.