BTC price range EOY·closes in 2mo

BTC price on Jan 1, 2027?

YES means 85,000 to 89,999.99

24h volume
15.3k
2.48M lifetime
Open interest
351.7k
+20.1k over 7d
Spread
0¢
728 × 1,444 at the touch
24h range
10¢ – 18¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
14%+4

A YES contract costs 14¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
86%

costs 86¢

YES bid / ask
14¢ / 14¢
NO bid / ask
86¢ / 86¢
24h low 10¢24h high 18¢
Recent buying8% YES · 92% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

5¢10¢15¢20¢volOct 29Nov 5

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask0.0115¢
  • ask1015¢
  • ask0.0115¢
  • ask0.0115¢
  • ask0.0115¢
  • ask1,20515¢
  • ask97514¢
  • ask1,44414¢
spread0¢mid 14¢
  • bid72814¢
  • bid6914¢
  • bid1314¢
  • bid3114¢
  • bid6714¢
  • bid10913¢
  • bid14613¢
  • bid10813¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12 AM EST is between 85000.00-89999.99 at 12 AM EST on Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Feb 25 · 11:25 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2027 · 5:05 AM UTC
floor
85000
cap
89999.99
ticker
KXBTCY-27JAN0100-B87500
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 98¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 8% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
10s ago14¢6.43bought yes
10s ago14¢3bought yes
10s ago14¢14bought yes
10s ago14¢0.01bought yes
26s ago14¢23bought no
1h ago14¢72bought no
1h ago14¢53bought no
1h ago14¢6.62bought no
2h ago14¢8.54bought no
2h ago14¢30bought no
2h ago14¢261bought no
3h ago14¢2.34bought no
3h ago14¢2.88bought no
3h ago14¢7.12bought no
4h ago16¢5bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.