BTC price range EOY·closes in 3mo

BTC price on Jan 1, 2027?

YES means 85,000 to 89,999.99

24h volume
10.0k
2.03M lifetime
Open interest
282.6k
Spread
3.36 × 280 at the touch
24h range
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
11%+1

A YES contract costs 12¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
89%

costs 90¢

YES bid / ask
11¢ / 12¢
NO bid / ask
89¢ / 90¢
Recent buying65% YES · 35% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12 AM EST is between 85000.00-89999.99 at 12 AM EST on Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Feb 25 · 11:25 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2027 · 5:05 AM UTC
floor
85000
cap
89999.99
ticker
KXBTCY-27JAN0100-B87500
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 65% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
4m ago11¢4.58bought yes
4m ago11¢3.38bought yes
8m ago11¢0.06bought yes
8m ago11¢3.38bought yes
8m ago12¢17bought yes
8m ago12¢14bought yes
8m ago12¢5.13bought yes
8m ago12¢30bought yes
8m ago10¢0.14bought no
8m ago11¢23bought no
8m ago10¢18bought no
8m ago10¢26bought no
8m ago10¢3.22bought no
9m ago11¢0.05bought yes
9m ago11¢3.2bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.