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BTC price range EOY·closes in 3mo

BTC price on Jan 1, 2027?

YES means 75,000 to 79,999.99

24h volume
13.2k
2.73M lifetime
Open interest
284.3k
−587 over 7d
Spread
1¢
17 × 14 at the touch
24h range
13¢ – 16¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
13%−2

A YES contract costs 13¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
87%

costs 87¢

YES bid / ask
13¢ / 13¢
NO bid / ask
87¢ / 87¢
24h low 13¢24h high 16¢
Recent buying11% YES · 89% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
10¢15¢20¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask9014¢
  • ask4314¢
  • ask8914¢
  • ask29014¢
  • ask6514¢
  • ask2614¢
  • ask2.7713¢
  • ask1413¢
spread1¢mid 13¢
  • bid27413¢
  • bid1,51313¢
  • bid62513¢
  • bid87312¢
  • bid2112¢
  • bid59612¢
  • bid3,05612¢
  • bid25012¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12 AM EST is between 75000.00-79999.99 at 12 AM EST on Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Feb 25 · 11:25 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2027 · 5:05 AM UTC
floor
75000
cap
79999.99
ticker
KXBTCY-27JAN0100-B77500
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 95¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 11% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
8s ago13¢2.29bought yes
8s ago13¢2.29bought yes
20s ago13¢2.29bought no
21s ago13¢0.01bought no
21s ago13¢2.28bought no
36s ago13¢2.29bought yes
37s ago13¢2.29bought yes
1m ago13¢2.29bought no
2m ago13¢15bought no
2m ago13¢2.29bought no
2m ago13¢11bought yes
2m ago13¢2.23bought yes
2m ago13¢1.04bought yes
2m ago13¢0.07bought yes
2m ago13¢0.46bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.