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BTC price range EOY·closes in 2mo

BTC price on Jan 1, 2027?

YES means 80,000 to 84,999.99

24h volume
9,219
3.41M lifetime
Open interest
363.1k
+26.7k over 7d
Spread
0¢
500 × 1,447 at the touch
24h range
14¢ – 21¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
18%+3

A YES contract costs 18¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
82%

costs 82¢

YES bid / ask
18¢ / 18¢
NO bid / ask
82¢ / 82¢
24h low 14¢24h high 21¢
Recent buying61% YES · 39% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
10¢15¢20¢25¢volOct 29Nov 5

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask4819¢
  • ask5319¢
  • ask3418¢
  • ask2318¢
  • ask1518¢
  • ask1,18118¢
  • ask1,12018¢
  • ask1,44718¢
spread0¢mid 18¢
  • bid50018¢
  • bid10018¢
  • bid1818¢
  • bid2417¢
  • bid3117¢
  • bid32717¢
  • bid5.7917¢
  • bid6917¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12 AM EST is between 80000.00-84999.99 at 12 AM EST on Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Feb 25 · 11:25 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2027 · 5:05 AM UTC
floor
80000
cap
84999.99
ticker
KXBTCY-27JAN0100-B82500
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 98¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 61% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
28m ago18¢127bought yes
28m ago18¢3.78bought yes
1h ago18¢11bought no
1h ago18¢67bought no
1h ago18¢6.67bought no
1h ago18¢33bought yes
1h ago18¢33bought no
1h ago18¢111bought yes
1h ago18¢0.9bought yes
1h ago18¢0.01bought yes
1h ago18¢100bought yes
2h ago18¢40bought yes
3h ago18¢484bought yes
3h ago18¢531bought yes
3h ago18¢28bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.