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CPI·closes in 3mo

Will CPI rise more than 0.0% in November 2026?

YES means Above 0.0%

24h volume
221
2,872 lifetime
Open interest
747
Spread
2¢
135 × 694 at the touch
24h range
77¢ – 82¢
Chance of YES
77%+2

A YES contract costs 78¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
23%

costs 24¢

YES bid / ask
76¢ / 78¢
NO bid / ask
22¢ / 24¢
24h low 77¢24h high 82¢
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask22197¢
  • ask12596¢
  • ask10095¢
  • ask16694¢
  • ask14293¢
  • ask1492¢
  • ask32988¢
  • ask69478¢
spread2¢mid 77¢
  • bid13576¢
  • bid58575¢
  • bid13572¢
  • bid1265¢
  • bid421¢
  • bid320¢
  • bid216¢
  • bid4315¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 0.0% (single-decimal) in November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

The market will always close at 8:25 AM ET on the scheduled day of the data release (December 10, 2026). Please note: the Expiration Value is the single-decimal value published at the Source Agency. In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.

Settlement sources
opened
Feb 20 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 10 · 1:25 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 10 · 2:56 PM UTC
floor
0
ticker
KXCPI-26NOV-T0.0
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.