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CPI·closes in 3mo

Will CPI rise more than 0.4% in November 2026?

YES means Above 0.4%

24h volume
6
4,023 lifetime
Open interest
883
+60 over 30d
Spread
5¢
100 × 597 at the touch
24h range
21¢ – 21¢
32 recent trades
Chance of YES
21%

A YES contract costs 21¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
79%

costs 84¢

YES bid / ask
16¢ / 21¢
NO bid / ask
79¢ / 84¢
24h low 21¢24h high 21¢
Recent buying99% YES · 1% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢volAug 22Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5494¢
  • ask3793¢
  • ask6788¢
  • ask1587¢
  • ask1569¢
  • ask2066¢
  • ask6.0448¢
  • ask59721¢
spread5¢mid 19¢
  • bid10016¢
  • bid35015¢
  • bid5014¢
  • bid10013¢
  • bid1755¢
  • bid504¢
  • bid552¢
  • bid1,0001¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 0.4% (single-decimal) in November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

The market will always close at 8:25 AM ET on the scheduled day of the data release (December 10, 2026). Please note: the Expiration Value is the single-decimal value published at the Source Agency. In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.

Settlement sources
opened
Feb 20 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 10 · 1:25 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 10 · 2:56 PM UTC
floor
0.4
ticker
KXCPI-26NOV-T0.4
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 32 trades, 99% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1h ago21¢3bought yes
1h ago21¢3bought yes
1d ago21¢3bought no
1d ago21¢4bought yes
1d ago21¢1bought yes
4d ago1¢1bought no
5d ago27¢1bought yes
5d ago26¢4bought no
7d ago46¢14bought yes
7d ago46¢20bought yes
7d ago25¢5bought yes
9d ago25¢1bought yes
14d ago25¢11bought yes
18d ago48¢1bought yes
24d ago48¢4bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.