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CPI·closes in 23d

Will CPI rise more than -0.1% in September 2026?

YES means Above -0.1%

24h volume
389
5,712 lifetime
Open interest
2,443
+1,906 over 30d
Spread
1¢
1,071 × 0 at the touch
24h range
62¢ – 99¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
99%

A YES contract costs 100¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
1%

costs 1¢

YES bid / ask
99¢ / 100¢
NO bid / ask
0¢ / 1¢
24h low 62¢24h high 99¢
Recent buying71% YES · 29% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
25¢50¢75¢100¢volAug 22Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
    spread–mid –
    • bid1,07199¢
    • bid0.0198¢
    • bid796¢
    • bid0.2286¢
    • bid24385¢
    • bid87584¢
    • bid2.5472¢
    • bid171¢
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than -0.1% (single-decimal) in September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

    The market will always close at 8:25 AM ET on the scheduled day of the data release (October 14, 2026). Please note: the Expiration Value is the single-decimal value published at the Source Agency. In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.

    Settlement sources
    opened
    Feb 20 · 3:00 PM UTC
    closes
    Oct 14 · 12:25 PM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Oct 14 · 1:56 PM UTC
    floor
    -0.1
    ticker
    KXCPI-26SEP-T-0.1
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    Other outcomes in this event

    Outcomes in this event settle independently.

    Recent trades

    Over the last 50 trades, 71% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

    WhenYESContractsSide
    8h ago99¢389bought no
    1d ago99¢4bought no
    2d ago99¢61bought no
    2d ago99¢61bought no
    2d ago99¢61bought no
    2d ago99¢86bought no
    2d ago99¢86bought no
    3d ago99¢200bought no
    4d ago99¢981bought yes
    4d ago99¢1,019bought yes
    4d ago99¢5.04bought yes
    6d ago99¢14bought yes
    6d ago99¢1.06bought yes
    6d ago98¢3bought no
    13d ago92¢189bought yes

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.