Will CPI rise more than -0.2% in September 2026?
YES means Above -0.2%
- 24h volume
- 1,343
- 6,657 lifetime
- Open interest
- 3,365
- +4,708 over 90d
- Spread
- 1¢
- 1,347 × 1,070 at the touch
- 24h range
- 99¢ – 99¢
A YES contract costs 99¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 2¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask1,07099¢
- bid1,34798¢
- bid28693¢
- bid7692¢
- bid2991¢
- bid5090¢
- bid1087¢
- bid57686¢
- bid24781¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than -0.2% (single-decimal) in September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The market will always close at 8:25 AM ET on the scheduled day of the data release (October 14, 2026). Please note: the Expiration Value is the single-decimal value published at the Source Agency. In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.
- opened
- Jul 20 · 6:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Oct 14 · 12:25 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Oct 14 · 1:56 PM UTC
- floor
- -0.2
- ticker
- KXCPI-26SEP-T-0.2
Other outcomes in this event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.