Will the Democratic Party hold 49 seats in the 120th Congress?
YES means 49
- 24h volume
- 987
- 151.1k lifetime
- Open interest
- 109.9k
- +10.1k over 30d
- Spread
- 1¢
- 6.91 × 3.42 at the touch
- 24h range
- 7¢ – 13¢
A YES contract costs 8¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 93¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
Order book unavailable.
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If the Democratic Party has exactly 49 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Individuals caucusing with either party will be included with them (e.g. an Independent who caucuses with a party, like Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders who caucuses with the Democrats, would be counted as a Democrat).
- opened
- Dec 20, 2025 · 4:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Feb 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Feb 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
- floor
- 49
- cap
- 49
- ticker
- KXDSENATESEATS-27-49
Other outcomes in this event
Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 105¢).
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.