Will Elon Musk visit Mars before Aug 1, 2099?
YES means Mars
- 24h volume
- 230
- 119.1k lifetime
- Open interest
- 40.0k
- Spread
- 3¢
- 602 × 626 at the touch
- 24h range
- 9¢ – 10¢
- 50 recent trades
A YES contract costs 12¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 91¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
Order book unavailable.
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If Elon Musk visits Mars before the earlier of his death or Aug 1, 2099, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Guardian
- local news outlets with verifiable mastheads in <area>
- official social media accounts of <person> or their official representatives
- official government sources of <area>
- official representatives or offices of <person>
- The New York Times
- the Associated Press
- Reuters
- Politico
- Semafor
- The Information
- The Washington Post
- The Wall Street Journal
- CNN
- Fox News
- MSNBC
- CNBC
- opened
- Aug 28, 2025 · 8:45 PM UTC
- closes
- Aug 1, 2099 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Aug 1, 2099 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXELONMARS-99
This event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
This is the only market in Will Elon Musk visit Mars in his lifetime?.
Recent trades
Over the last 50 trades, 19% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9h ago | 9¢ | 191 | bought no |
| 9h ago | 10¢ | 22 | bought no |
| 9h ago | 10¢ | 17 | bought no |
| 3d ago | 10¢ | 1 | bought no |
| 5d ago | 10¢ | 1 | bought no |
| 5d ago | 12¢ | 1 | bought yes |
| 5d ago | 10¢ | 39 | bought no |
| 5d ago | 12¢ | 1 | bought yes |
| 5d ago | 12¢ | 0.2 | bought yes |
| 5d ago | 12¢ | 0.2 | bought yes |
| 5d ago | 12¢ | 0.5 | bought yes |
| 7d ago | 10¢ | 30 | bought no |
| 7d ago | 10¢ | 18 | bought no |
| 7d ago | 10¢ | 20 | bought no |
| 7d ago | 12¢ | 1 | bought yes |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.