Will Elon Musk visit Mars before Aug 1, 2099?
YES means Mars
- 24h volume
- 230
- 119.1k lifetime
- Open interest
- 40.0k
- +859 over 90d
- Spread
- 3¢
- 602 × 626 at the touch
- 24h range
- 9¢ – 16¢
A YES contract costs 12¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 91¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask9.430¢
- ask3927¢
- ask15024¢
- ask45221¢
- ask2,05015¢
- ask1014¢
- ask1,79913¢
- ask62612¢
- bid6029¢
- bid3578¢
- bid3,1967¢
- bid2,2836¢
- bid935¢
- bid6154¢
- bid18.5k3¢
- bid5072¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If Elon Musk visits Mars before the earlier of his death or Aug 1, 2099, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Guardian
- official representatives or offices of <person>
- Fox News
- official social media accounts of <person> or their official representatives
- Semafor
- The Information
- CNBC
- the Associated Press
- The Wall Street Journal
- CNN
- Politico
- MSNBC
- The Washington Post
- Reuters
- local news outlets with verifiable mastheads in <area>
- official government sources of <area>
- The New York Times
- opened
- Aug 28, 2025 · 8:45 PM UTC
- closes
- Aug 1, 2099 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Aug 1, 2099 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXELONMARS-99
This event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
This is the only market in its event.
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.