galdor.xyz
Admin
ETH price EOY ·closes in 3mo

ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?

YES means 2,250 to 2,499.99

24h volume
200
1.23M lifetime
Open interest
49.1k
+61 over 24h
Spread
1¢
4.88 × 9.67 at the touch
24h range
14¢ – 15¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
15%+1

A YES contract costs 15¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
85%

costs 86¢

YES bid / ask
14¢ / 15¢
NO bid / ask
85¢ / 86¢
24h low 14¢24h high 15¢
Recent buying24% YES · 76% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
10¢15¢20¢volSep 20, 2:29 AMSep 21, 2:03 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1116¢
  • ask2215¢
  • ask6.6615¢
  • ask1715¢
  • ask12715¢
  • ask7915¢
  • ask5015¢
  • ask9.6715¢
spread1¢mid 14¢
  • bid4.8814¢
  • bid5914¢
  • bid4113¢
  • bid3813¢
  • bid9613¢
  • bid4213¢
  • bid5813¢
  • bid4613¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' ETHUSD_RTI before 12 AM EST is between 2250.00-2499.99 at 12 AM EST on Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Feb 25 · 11:05 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2027 · 5:05 AM UTC
floor
2250
cap
2499.99
ticker
KXETHY-27JAN0100-B2375
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 98¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 24% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
9h ago14¢10bought yes
9h ago14¢1bought yes
9h ago15¢6.35bought yes
9h ago15¢9.06bought yes
9h ago15¢50bought yes
9h ago14¢50bought yes
9h ago15¢11bought yes
11h ago14¢13bought no
11h ago14¢24bought no
11h ago14¢26bought no
1d ago14¢455bought no
1d ago14¢1.49bought no
1d ago14¢374bought no
1d ago14¢5.14bought no
1d ago14¢0.83bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.