ETH price EOY ·closes in 3mo

ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?

YES means 999.99 or below

24h volume
0
995.2k lifetime
Open interest
36.0k
+11.5k over 90d
Spread
5 × 56 at the touch
24h range
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
3%

A YES contract costs and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
97%

costs 98¢

YES bid / ask
/
NO bid / ask
98¢ / 98¢
Recent buying36% YES · 64% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢10¢20¢volJun 23Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask500
  • ask79
  • ask3
  • ask490
  • ask128
  • ask35
  • ask13
  • ask56
spreadmid
  • bid5
  • bid17
  • bid3,000
  • bid705
  • bid487
  • bid501.0k
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' ETHUSD_RTI before 12 AM EST is below 1000.00 at 12 AM EST on Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Feb 25 · 11:05 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2027 · 5:05 AM UTC
cap
1000
ticker
KXETHY-27JAN0100-T1000.00
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 98¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 36% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2d ago900bought no
4d ago39bought no
4d ago9.42bought no
7d ago5.7bought yes
11d ago267bought no
11d ago22bought no
11d ago29bought no
12d ago10bought yes
13d ago55bought yes
13d ago16bought yes
13d ago25bought yes
14d ago0.18bought yes
14d ago3.37bought yes
14d ago10bought yes
14d ago37bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.