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F1 Retire·closes in 43mo

Will Max Verstappen announce his retirement before the 2028 F1 season?

YES means Before the 2028 season

24h volume
0
1,368 lifetime
Open interest
589
+0 over 24h
Spread
22¢
5 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
17 recent trades
Chance of YES
19%

A YES contract costs 43¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
81%

costs 79¢

YES bid / ask
21¢ / 43¢
NO bid / ask
57¢ / 79¢
Recent buying17% YES · 83% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
20¢30¢40¢50¢volSep 20, 7:15 AMSep 21, 6:37 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask4599¢
  • ask5591¢
  • ask3890¢
  • ask144¢
  • ask543¢
spread22¢mid 32¢
  • bid521¢
  • bid4319¢
  • bid1011¢
  • bid1213¢
  • bid4552¢
  • bid6,0501¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Max Verstappen announces his retirement from F1 before the 2028 F1 season start date, then the market resolves to Yes.

Note: The retirement must be intended to be effective immediately or prior to the first new season after the announcement. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Mar 30 · 8:00 PM UTC
closes
Apr 1, 2030 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Apr 1, 2030 · 2:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXF1RETIRE-30VERSTAPPEN-2028
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 17 trades, 17% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
10d ago19¢7.18bought no
26d ago28¢2bought yes
26d ago18¢2.95bought no
26d ago28¢2.95bought yes
27d ago25¢90bought yes
27d ago24¢10bought yes
1mo ago30¢5bought no
1mo ago29¢50bought no
1mo ago36¢50bought no
1mo ago33¢200bought no
1mo ago38¢200bought no
1mo ago38¢16bought no
1mo ago39¢5bought no
1mo ago38¢5.69bought no
2mo ago45¢2bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.