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F1 Retire·closes in 43mo

Will Max Verstappen announce his retirement before the 2030 F1 season?

YES means Before the 2030 season

24h volume
0
867 lifetime
Open interest
606
Spread
89¢
5 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
10 recent trades
Chance of YES
70%

A YES contract costs 98¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
30%

costs 91¢

YES bid / ask
9¢ / 98¢
NO bid / ask
2¢ / 91¢
Recent buying11% YES · 89% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Max Verstappen announces his retirement from F1 before the 2030 F1 season start date, then the market resolves to Yes.

Note: The retirement must be intended to be effective immediately or prior to the first new season after the announcement. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Mar 30 · 8:00 PM UTC
closes
Apr 1, 2030 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Apr 1, 2030 · 2:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXF1RETIRE-30VERSTAPPEN-2030
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 10 trades, 11% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
25d ago70¢11bought yes
26d ago67¢1bought yes
26d ago70¢13bought yes
26d ago66¢0.62bought yes
1mo ago61¢12bought no
1mo ago57¢21bought no
1mo ago56¢2.18bought no
1mo ago63¢3.09bought yes
1mo ago57¢11bought no
1mo ago62¢200bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.