Will golfer win a major by 2030?·closes in 16mo

Will Scottie Scheffler win a golf major championship in 2027?

YES means Scottie Scheffler

24h volume: 8.1; 420 lifetime
Open interest: 345; +263 over 30d
Spread: 7¢; 105 × 33 at the touch
24h range: 52¢ – 60¢

Chance of YES

60%+6

A YES contract costs 60¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

40%

costs 47¢

YES bid / ask

53¢ / 60¢

NO bid / ask

40¢ / 47¢

24h low 52¢24h high 60¢

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.

2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.

3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h 7d 30d 90d

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes

ask45100¢
ask10098¢
ask1398¢
ask11575¢
ask10065¢
ask10062¢
ask6061¢
ask3360¢

spread7¢mid 56¢

bid10553¢
bid8.5851¢
bid30050¢
bid9035¢
bid509¢
bid1,1579¢
bid1,2408¢
bid1,1111¢

Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Scottie Scheffler wins a golf major championship (including The Masters, PGA Championship, U.S. Open, and The Open Championship) in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

A golf major refers to one of the four annual major championship tournaments officially designated by the sport’s governing bodies: The Masters, PGA Championship, U.S. Open, and The Open Championship. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the PGA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources

opened: Jul 20 · 3:30 PM UTC
closes: Jan 14, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by: Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker: KXGOLFMAJOR-27-SSCH

Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.