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Will golfer win a major by 2030?·closes in 16mo

Will Scottie Scheffler win a golf major championship in 2027?

YES means Scottie Scheffler

24h volume
8.1
420 lifetime
Open interest
345
Spread
7¢
105 × 33 at the touch
24h range
60¢ – 60¢
16 recent trades
Chance of YES
60%+6

A YES contract costs 60¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
40%

costs 47¢

YES bid / ask
53¢ / 60¢
NO bid / ask
40¢ / 47¢
24h low 60¢24h high 60¢
Recent buying91% YES · 9% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Scottie Scheffler wins a golf major championship (including The Masters, PGA Championship, U.S. Open, and The Open Championship) in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

A golf major refers to one of the four annual major championship tournaments officially designated by the sport’s governing bodies: The Masters, PGA Championship, U.S. Open, and The Open Championship. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the PGA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 20 · 3:30 PM UTC
closes
Jan 14, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXGOLFMAJOR-27-SSCH
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 16 trades, 91% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2h ago60¢8.1bought yes
14d ago54¢32bought no
15d ago60¢16bought yes
15d ago59¢0.18bought yes
15d ago60¢16bought yes
21d ago58¢8.37bought yes
21d ago58¢83bought yes
21d ago59¢100bought yes
21d ago58¢41bought yes
21d ago57¢5bought yes
23d ago58¢5bought yes
23d ago52¢5bought no
24d ago55¢18bought yes
2mo ago57¢5bought yes
2mo ago58¢12bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.