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Johannesburg mayoral election·closes in 16mo

Will Herman Mashaba win the next Johannesburg mayoral election following the 2026 municipal elections?

YES means Herman Mashaba

24h volume
0
560 lifetime
Open interest
560
+50 over 30d
Spread
2¢
0 × 5 at the touch
24h range
1¢ – 1¢
14 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs 2¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 2¢
NO bid / ask
98¢ / 100¢
24h low 1¢24h high 1¢
Recent buying0% YES · 100% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢15¢volAug 22Aug 27

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Herman Mashaba wins the next Johannesburg mayoral election following the 2026 municipal elections, then the market resolves to Yes.

Note: Johannesburg voters elect the municipal council, and the executive mayor is then chosen indirectly by a vote of that council This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 9 · 8:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXJOHANNESBURGMAYOR-26DEC31-HMAS
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 97¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 14 trades, 0% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
29d ago1¢11bought no
29d ago1¢13bought no
29d ago1¢21bought no
29d ago1¢6bought no
1mo ago5¢45bought no
1mo ago6¢27bought no
1mo ago5¢40bought no
1mo ago6¢81bought no
2mo ago7¢70bought no
2mo ago8¢100bought no
2mo ago8¢100bought no
2mo ago9¢22bought no
2mo ago9¢5bought no
2mo ago9¢20bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.