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Southwest KPI·closes in 7mo

Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above $225 average passenger fare in fiscal 2026?

YES means Above $225

24h volume
0
2,100 lifetime
Open interest
1,078
+1,073 over 90d
Spread
9¢
5 × 200 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
64%

A YES contract costs 60¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
36%

costs 49¢

YES bid / ask
51¢ / 60¢
NO bid / ask
40¢ / 49¢
Recent buying77% YES · 23% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
50¢75¢100¢volJul 29Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5099¢
  • ask2291¢
  • ask50290¢
  • ask21589¢
  • ask20060¢
spread9¢mid 55¢
  • bid551¢
  • bid20050¢
  • bid4449¢
  • bid4948¢
  • bid50040¢
  • bid12127¢
  • bid21526¢
  • bid2,54625¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Southwest Airlines Company reports Above 225 average passenger fare in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market refers to the annual figure reported in Southwest Airlines Company's full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 28 · 6:45 PM UTC
closes
Apr 27, 2027 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
May 27, 2027 · 5:00 AM UTC
floor
225
ticker
KXLUVA-27JANFARE-225
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 77% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
10d ago64¢76bought no
10d ago65¢5bought no
14d ago64¢84bought yes
17d ago61¢5bought yes
17d ago60¢0.01bought yes
17d ago60¢81bought yes
17d ago60¢41bought yes
2mo ago53¢20bought yes
2mo ago50¢5bought yes
2mo ago50¢200bought yes
2mo ago50¢66bought yes
2mo ago47¢5bought yes
2mo ago47¢10bought yes
2mo ago47¢10bought yes
2mo ago47¢5bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.