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Manager Out Date·closes in 16mo

Will Thomas Tuchel be out before Jan 1, 2028?

YES means Out before Jan 1, 2028

24h volume
0
2,658 lifetime
Open interest
592
+0 over 7d
Spread
25¢
5 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
15%

A YES contract costs 40¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
85%

costs 85¢

YES bid / ask
15¢ / 40¢
NO bid / ask
60¢ / 85¢
Recent buying60% YES · 40% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
10¢20¢30¢40¢volSep 15Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask91083¢
  • ask34080¢
  • ask6179¢
  • ask5176¢
  • ask10048¢
  • ask10042¢
  • ask541¢
  • ask540¢
spread25¢mid 28¢
  • bid515¢
  • bid1014¢
  • bid1,00013¢
  • bid566¢
  • bid2,0005¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Thomas Tuchel ceases to be the manager of England National Football Team before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

All dates in this market are based on Eastern Time (ET). Thomas Tuchel must officially leave their position on or before 11:59:59 PM ET on the specified date for the market to resolve Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 1 · 5:50 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jul 11, 2028 · 2:00 AM UTC
ticker
KXMANAGEROUTDATE-28TUCHEL-28JAN01
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 60% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2mo ago16¢5bought no
2mo ago15¢11bought no
2mo ago50¢22bought yes
2mo ago49¢5bought yes
2mo ago45¢5bought no
2mo ago44¢78bought no
2mo ago44¢9bought no
2mo ago44¢22bought no
2mo ago56¢2.13bought no
2mo ago57¢10bought yes
2mo ago56¢7bought no
2mo ago56¢20bought no
2mo ago56¢100bought no
2mo ago56¢3.34bought no
2mo ago56¢5bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.