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Manager Out Date·closes in 21mo

Will Thomas Tuchel be out before Jun 1, 2028?

YES means Out before Jun 1, 2028

24h volume
0.25
3,883 lifetime
Open interest
329
+0 over 24h
Spread
77¢
0.11 × 12 at the touch
24h range
97¢ – 97¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
97%+52

A YES contract costs 97¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
3%

costs 80¢

YES bid / ask
20¢ / 97¢
NO bid / ask
3¢ / 80¢
24h low 97¢24h high 97¢
Recent buying17% YES · 83% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
25¢50¢75¢100¢volSep 20, 8:01 AMSep 20, 3:12 PM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1297¢
spread77¢mid 59¢
  • bid0.1120¢
  • bid10019¢
  • bid7217¢
  • bid1,00016¢
  • bid2,0007¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Thomas Tuchel ceases to be the manager of England National Football Team before Jun 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

All dates in this market are based on Eastern Time (ET). Thomas Tuchel must officially leave their position on or before 11:59:59 PM ET on the specified date for the market to resolve Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 1 · 5:50 PM UTC
closes
Jun 1, 2028 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jul 11, 2028 · 2:00 AM UTC
ticker
KXMANAGEROUTDATE-28TUCHEL-28JUN01
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 17% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
14h ago97¢0.25bought yes
1mo ago45¢1.76bought no
1mo ago44¢8bought no
1mo ago45¢5bought no
1mo ago44¢49bought no
1mo ago65¢45bought yes
2mo ago62¢150bought no
2mo ago63¢5bought no
2mo ago66¢0.15bought no
2mo ago66¢2bought no
2mo ago70¢3.99bought no
2mo ago70¢10bought no
2mo ago70¢0.01bought no
2mo ago71¢21bought yes
2mo ago71¢23bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.