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Meta Annual KPI·closes in 19mo

Will Meta Platforms Inc. report Above 3.8 billion family daily active people in 2026?

YES means Above 3.8 billion

24h volume
0
169 lifetime
Open interest
21
+0 over 24h
Spread
8¢
5 × 0.69 at the touch
24h range
–
Chance of YES
19%

A YES contract costs 20¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
81%

costs 88¢

YES bid / ask
12¢ / 20¢
NO bid / ask
80¢ / 88¢
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
5¢10¢15¢20¢25¢volSep 20, 8:45 PMSep 20, 11:03 PM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5099¢
  • ask88898¢
  • ask72684¢
  • ask20083¢
  • ask2.4765¢
  • ask20021¢
  • ask0.6920¢
spread8¢mid 16¢
  • bid512¢
  • bid20011¢
  • bid2932¢
  • bid501¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Meta Platforms Inc. reports Above 3800000000.0 family daily active people in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 9 · 10:17 PM UTC
closes
Mar 31, 2028 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 31, 2028 · 9:00 PM UTC
floor
3800000000
ticker
KXMETAA-28JANDAP-3800000000.0
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.