MLS Cup champion·closes in 2mo

Will Chicago win the MLS Cup?

YES means Chicago

24h volume: 40; 91.2k lifetime
Open interest: 51.6k
Spread: 1¢; 31.2k × 1,539 at the touch
24h range: 3¢ – 4¢

Chance of YES

4%+1

A YES contract costs 4¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

96%

costs 97¢

YES bid / ask

3¢ / 4¢

NO bid / ask

96¢ / 97¢

24h low 3¢24h high 4¢

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.

2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.

3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h 7d 30d 90d

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes

ask14118¢
ask114¢
ask9839¢
ask3,5658¢
ask1387¢
ask5286¢
ask2,1125¢
ask1,5394¢

spread1¢mid 4¢

bid31.2k3¢
bid4342¢
bid2371¢

Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Chicago is the 2026 Major League Soccer (MLS) Cup Champion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources

opened: Feb 6 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes: Jan 8, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by: Dec 25 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker: KXMLSCUP-26-CHI

Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 121¢).

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.