galdor.xyz
Admin
NBA Game·closes in 2d

Toronto wins

YES means Toronto

24h volume
418.8k
435.8k lifetime
Open interest
260.5k
+252.9k over 24h
Spread
1¢
108.3k × 117.8k at the touch
24h range
34¢ – 63¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
49%+14

A YES contract costs 49¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
51%

costs 52¢

YES bid / ask
48¢ / 49¢
NO bid / ask
51¢ / 52¢
24h low 34¢24h high 63¢
Recent buying87% YES · 13% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
30¢40¢50¢60¢volNov 4, 3:21 AMNov 5, 3:17 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2,66856¢
  • ask10.2k55¢
  • ask7,55654¢
  • ask9,00453¢
  • ask19.8k52¢
  • ask32.3k51¢
  • ask113.3k50¢
  • ask117.7k49¢
spread1¢mid 49¢
  • bid108.3k48¢
  • bid34.8k47¢
  • bid16.1k46¢
  • bid7,20845¢
  • bid2,86044¢
  • bid86743¢
  • bid6,48342¢
  • bid44641¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Toronto wins the Toronto vs Denver Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 1 · 2:06 AM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 2:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 5:00 AM UTC
ticker
KXNBAGAME-26NOV04TORDEN-TOR
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 101¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 87% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1s ago49¢99bought yes
10s ago49¢1.97bought yes
16s ago49¢9.85bought yes
30s ago49¢26bought yes
38s ago49¢16bought yes
46s ago49¢99bought yes
54s ago49¢20bought yes
57s ago49¢197bought yes
1m ago49¢74bought yes
1m ago49¢123bought yes
1m ago48¢4.37bought no
2m ago49¢20bought yes
2m ago49¢158bought yes
2m ago49¢99bought yes
2m ago48¢4bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.