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NBA Game·closes in 2d

Toronto wins

YES means Toronto

24h volume
358.7k
430.0k lifetime
Open interest
258.4k
Spread
1¢
107.9k × 347.5k at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
48%+13

A YES contract costs 49¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
52%

costs 52¢

YES bid / ask
48¢ / 49¢
NO bid / ask
51¢ / 52¢
Recent buying72% YES · 28% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2,66856¢
  • ask13.2k55¢
  • ask9,96254¢
  • ask12.1k53¢
  • ask24.9k52¢
  • ask32.1k51¢
  • ask91.7k50¢
  • ask350.5k49¢
spread1¢mid 49¢
  • bid107.9k48¢
  • bid36.9k47¢
  • bid13.3k46¢
  • bid7,20845¢
  • bid2,86044¢
  • bid89643¢
  • bid6,48342¢
  • bid44641¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Toronto wins the Toronto vs Denver Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 1 · 2:06 AM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 2:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 5:00 AM UTC
ticker
KXNBAGAME-26NOV04TORDEN-TOR
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 101¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 72% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2s ago49¢3.94bought yes
3s ago49¢39bought yes
3s ago49¢11bought yes
11s ago48¢0.13bought no
13s ago49¢9bought yes
16s ago48¢1,155bought no
17s ago49¢49bought yes
18s ago49¢22bought yes
19s ago49¢20bought yes
20s ago49¢392bought yes
21s ago49¢48bought yes
27s ago49¢20bought yes
30s ago49¢3.94bought yes
35s ago49¢980bought yes
43s ago49¢2bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.