NBA Spread·closes in 2d

Indiana wins by over 1.5 points

24h volume
9,248
9,685 lifetime
Open interest
7,519
+7,292 over 7d
Spread
9¢
180 × 3 at the touch
24h range
21¢ – 50¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
30%

A YES contract costs 34¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
70%

costs 75¢

YES bid / ask
25¢ / 34¢
NO bid / ask
66¢ / 75¢
24h low 21¢24h high 50¢
Recent buying59% YES · 41% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

15¢20¢25¢30¢35¢volNov 4, 11:00 PMNov 5, 2:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask546¢
  • ask25045¢
  • ask2,02544¢
  • ask6,10043¢
  • ask1042¢
  • ask5741¢
  • ask4040¢
  • ask334¢
spread9¢mid 30¢
  • bid8825¢
  • bid1024¢
  • bid34920¢
  • bid10019¢
  • bid1,00018¢
  • bid2,00017¢
  • bid1,05016¢
  • bid4,00014¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Indiana wins by more than 1.5 points in the Indiana vs Memphis Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 4 · 12:24 AM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 1:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 4:00 AM UTC
floor
1.5
ticker
KXNBASPREAD-26NOV04INDMEM-IND2
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 59% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2m ago30¢200bought yes
2m ago29¢199bought yes
2m ago30¢38bought yes
7m ago23¢3bought no
8m ago34¢1bought no
8m ago34¢85bought no
8m ago31¢75bought no
8m ago31¢92bought no
12m ago34¢49bought yes
14m ago28¢1bought no
21m ago28¢54bought no
24m ago25¢1bought yes
28m ago29¢3bought no
31m ago31¢3bought no
31m ago31¢3bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.