NBA Spread·closes in 2d

Memphis wins by over 6.5 points

24h volume
101.2k
107.2k lifetime
Open interest
86.7k
+78.4k over 7d
Spread
8¢
41 × 10 at the touch
24h range
26¢ – 56¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
28%−24

A YES contract costs 30¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
72%

costs 78¢

YES bid / ask
22¢ / 30¢
NO bid / ask
70¢ / 78¢
24h low 26¢24h high 56¢
Recent buying31% YES · 69% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

40¢45¢50¢55¢60¢volNov 4, 1:00 AMNov 5, 2:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask37239¢
  • ask2,12538¢
  • ask2437¢
  • ask2,00134¢
  • ask59333¢
  • ask11932¢
  • ask9531¢
  • ask2130¢
spread7¢mid 27¢
  • bid1723¢
  • bid2522¢
  • bid10121¢
  • bid9620¢
  • bid7919¢
  • bid1,61918¢
  • bid2,00117¢
  • bid31516¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Memphis wins by more than 6.5 points in the Indiana vs Memphis Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 4 · 12:24 AM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 1:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 4:00 AM UTC
floor
6.5
ticker
KXNBASPREAD-26NOV04INDMEM-MEM7
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 31% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1s ago22¢17bought no
1s ago22¢10bought no
1s ago22¢6.31bought no
4s ago28¢42bought yes
5s ago22¢6bought no
5s ago22¢0.31bought no
6s ago21¢2.38bought no
6s ago23¢13bought no
6s ago21¢9bought no
6s ago21¢0.5bought no
12s ago29¢4bought yes
12s ago29¢32bought yes
12s ago29¢75bought yes
12s ago26¢0.37bought no
12s ago24¢64bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.