galdor.xyz
Admin
NBA Spread·closes in 2d

Indiana wins by over 3.5 points

24h volume
3,769
4,165 lifetime
Open interest
2,593
+2,545 over 7d
Spread
7¢
187 × 104 at the touch
24h range
12¢ – 43¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
21%

A YES contract costs 27¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
79%

costs 80¢

YES bid / ask
20¢ / 27¢
NO bid / ask
73¢ / 80¢
24h low 12¢24h high 43¢
Recent buying30% YES · 70% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
10¢15¢20¢25¢30¢volNov 4, 2:00 AMNov 5, 2:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask6,75040¢
  • ask73939¢
  • ask2,00538¢
  • ask85737¢
  • ask14834¢
  • ask11333¢
  • ask1030¢
  • ask326¢
spread5¢mid 24¢
  • bid4521¢
  • bid8520¢
  • bid1016¢
  • bid39215¢
  • bid53514¢
  • bid2513¢
  • bid1,05012¢
  • bid3,05011¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Indiana wins by more than 3.5 points in the Indiana vs Memphis Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 4 · 12:24 AM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 1:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 4:00 AM UTC
floor
3.5
ticker
KXNBASPREAD-26NOV04INDMEM-IND4
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 30% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
5s ago27¢49bought yes
2m ago21¢202bought yes
2m ago21¢75bought yes
5m ago22¢94bought yes
5m ago22¢0.37bought yes
7m ago16¢3bought no
8m ago23¢75bought no
8m ago23¢98bought no
12m ago30¢104bought yes
12m ago30¢100bought yes
12m ago28¢3bought yes
14m ago21¢1bought no
22m ago12¢4bought yes
23m ago15¢1bought no
28m ago19¢268bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.