NBA Spread·closes in 2d

Memphis wins by over 1.5 points

24h volume
9,308
9,411 lifetime
Open interest
7,605
+6,936 over 7d
Spread
3¢
6 × 61 at the touch
24h range
44¢ – 77¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
59%

A YES contract costs 59¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
41%

costs 44¢

YES bid / ask
56¢ / 59¢
NO bid / ask
41¢ / 44¢
24h low 44¢24h high 77¢
Recent buying93% YES · 7% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

60¢65¢70¢75¢volNov 4, 8:00 AMNov 5, 2:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask78071¢
  • ask1,00970¢
  • ask25069¢
  • ask28468¢
  • ask11867¢
  • ask27864¢
  • ask10063¢
  • ask459¢
spread3¢mid 58¢
  • bid656¢
  • bid355¢
  • bid4053¢
  • bid7552¢
  • bid3950¢
  • bid27549¢
  • bid20648¢
  • bid25047¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Memphis wins by more than 1.5 points in the Indiana vs Memphis Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 4 · 12:24 AM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 1:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 4:00 AM UTC
floor
1.5
ticker
KXNBASPREAD-26NOV04INDMEM-MEM2
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 93% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
5s ago59¢6bought yes
5s ago59¢1bought yes
15s ago59¢6bought yes
15s ago59¢6bought yes
15s ago65¢9bought yes
15s ago65¢20bought yes
15s ago65¢5.04bought yes
15s ago65¢23bought yes
15s ago65¢1bought yes
15s ago65¢14bought yes
15s ago65¢19bought yes
55s ago65¢0.03bought yes
6m ago73¢4bought no
6m ago77¢3bought yes
6m ago77¢4bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.