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NBA Spread·closes in 2d

Phoenix wins by over 2.5 points

24h volume
4,496
4,873 lifetime
Open interest
4,570
+4,570 over 7d
Spread
1¢
799 × 666 at the touch
24h range
11¢ – 50¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
11%

A YES contract costs 13¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
89%

costs 88¢

YES bid / ask
12¢ / 13¢
NO bid / ask
87¢ / 88¢
24h low 11¢24h high 50¢
Recent buying84% YES · 16% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
10¢20¢30¢40¢volNov 4, 9:00 PMNov 5, 3:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2,25020¢
  • ask1,52519¢
  • ask53318¢
  • ask13217¢
  • ask2,00816¢
  • ask8915¢
  • ask8914¢
  • ask2,16613¢
spread1¢mid 13¢
  • bid79912¢
  • bid2,31811¢
  • bid2,36410¢
  • bid438¢
  • bid1,5337¢
  • bid2,2506¢
  • bid3,0075¢
  • bid82.8k4¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Phoenix wins by more than 2.5 points in the Portland vs Phoenix Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 3 · 9:15 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 2:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 5:00 AM UTC
floor
2.5
ticker
KXNBASPREAD-26NOV04PORPHX-PHX3
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 84% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1m ago11¢1bought no
7m ago18¢1bought no
7m ago21¢100bought no
7m ago21¢20bought no
7m ago22¢95bought no
7m ago20¢45bought no
7m ago21¢75bought no
7m ago20¢38bought no
7m ago21¢1.59bought no
9m ago25¢1bought no
14m ago37¢3bought no
15m ago42¢1bought yes
15m ago40¢1bought yes
16m ago40¢3bought no
21m ago47¢1.1bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.