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NBA Spread·closes in 2d

Phoenix wins by over 3.5 points

24h volume
3,564
3,567 lifetime
Open interest
3,520
+0 over 90d
Spread
1¢
638 × 171 at the touch
24h range
14¢ – 46¢
34 recent trades
Chance of YES
14%

A YES contract costs 11¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
86%

costs 90¢

YES bid / ask
10¢ / 11¢
NO bid / ask
89¢ / 90¢
24h low 14¢24h high 46¢
Recent buying94% YES · 6% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask218¢
  • ask1,52717¢
  • ask32716¢
  • ask55715¢
  • ask2,00514¢
  • ask2,10013¢
  • ask60012¢
  • ask17111¢
spread1¢mid 11¢
  • bid63810¢
  • bid2,3739¢
  • bid2,0008¢
  • bid7447¢
  • bid6,1056¢
  • bid1,8135¢
  • bid64.3k4¢
  • bid16.6k3¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Phoenix wins by more than 3.5 points in the Portland vs Phoenix Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 3 · 9:15 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 2:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 5:00 AM UTC
floor
3.5
ticker
KXNBASPREAD-26NOV04PORPHX-PHX4
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 34 trades, 94% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3m ago14¢1bought no
5m ago17¢1.52bought no
16m ago35¢43bought yes
18m ago39¢16bought no
23m ago44¢2.6bought no
24m ago46¢1bought yes
25m ago46¢97bought no
27m ago44¢1.35bought no
27m ago42¢1bought yes
32m ago39¢1bought yes
34m ago43¢1bought yes
40m ago39¢1bought yes
42m ago40¢75bought no
42m ago39¢1bought yes
43m ago39¢1bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.