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NBA Spread·closes in 2d

Portland wins by over 11.5 points

24h volume
4,875
7,009 lifetime
Open interest
5,680
Spread
1¢
988 × 512 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
49%+20

A YES contract costs 50¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
51%

costs 51¢

YES bid / ask
49¢ / 50¢
NO bid / ask
50¢ / 51¢
Recent buying31% YES · 69% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask50258¢
  • ask6,35057¢
  • ask1,10656¢
  • ask57555¢
  • ask14954¢
  • ask11453¢
  • ask9552¢
  • ask11251¢
spread2¢mid 50¢
  • bid5149¢
  • bid16245¢
  • bid1,32944¢
  • bid6,54243¢
  • bid5041¢
  • bid540¢
  • bid72939¢
  • bid2,34838¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Portland wins by more than 11.5 points in the Portland vs Phoenix Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 3 · 9:15 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 2:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 5:00 AM UTC
floor
11.5
ticker
KXNBASPREAD-26NOV04PORPHX-POR12
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 31% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
7s ago49¢38bought no
26s ago49¢47bought no
43s ago47¢12bought no
1m ago48¢168bought yes
2m ago46¢3bought yes
2m ago46¢370bought yes
2m ago44¢12bought no
3m ago47¢0.84bought yes
4m ago46¢1.79bought no
5m ago46¢117bought no
5m ago46¢65bought no
5m ago46¢35bought no
6m ago47¢300bought no
6m ago47¢500bought no
6m ago47¢0.07bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.