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NBA Spread·closes in 2d

Portland wins by over 15.5 points

24h volume
1,723
1,723 lifetime
Open interest
1,479
+1,479 over 24h
Spread
3¢
82 × 152 at the touch
24h range
8¢ – 34¢
41 recent trades
Chance of YES
33%

A YES contract costs 34¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
67%

costs 69¢

YES bid / ask
31¢ / 34¢
NO bid / ask
66¢ / 69¢
24h low 8¢24h high 34¢
Recent buying92% YES · 8% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢10¢20¢30¢40¢volNov 4, 12:02 PMNov 5, 3:02 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask6,00042¢
  • ask2,04941¢
  • ask2,30040¢
  • ask4,30539¢
  • ask1,52037¢
  • ask2,18336¢
  • ask58935¢
  • ask12734¢
spread1¢mid 34¢
  • bid9333¢
  • bid7532¢
  • bid10031¢
  • bid10030¢
  • bid1,60029¢
  • bid1,30028¢
  • bid4,00527¢
  • bid4,30026¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Portland wins by more than 15.5 points in the Portland vs Phoenix Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 3 · 9:15 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 2:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 5:00 AM UTC
floor
15.5
ticker
KXNBASPREAD-26NOV04PORPHX-POR16
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 41 trades, 92% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1m ago33¢1.59bought no
3m ago34¢53bought yes
3m ago33¢1.5bought no
4m ago29¢1bought no
5m ago28¢1bought no
6m ago30¢1bought no
6m ago29¢1bought no
17m ago10¢1bought no
18m ago11¢1bought no
19m ago9¢107bought yes
23m ago10¢95bought yes
23m ago10¢82bought yes
25m ago8¢1bought no
27m ago10¢4.55bought yes
28m ago10¢1bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.