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NBA Spread·closes in 2d

Portland wins by over 17.5 points

24h volume
2,597
2,597 lifetime
Open interest
2,313
+2,313 over 24h
Spread
1¢
172 × 600 at the touch
24h range
6¢ – 24¢
28 recent trades
Chance of YES
24%

A YES contract costs 28¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
76%

costs 73¢

YES bid / ask
27¢ / 28¢
NO bid / ask
72¢ / 73¢
24h low 6¢24h high 24¢
Recent buying94% YES · 6% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢10¢20¢30¢volNov 4, 6:16 PMNov 5, 3:02 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,00037¢
  • ask2,07536¢
  • ask5034¢
  • ask2,55033¢
  • ask10.0k32¢
  • ask1,70730¢
  • ask2,16829¢
  • ask60028¢
spread1¢mid 28¢
  • bid17227¢
  • bid10025¢
  • bid1,00024¢
  • bid3,55023¢
  • bid25022¢
  • bid6,00021¢
  • bid7,50020¢
  • bid24.0k17¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Portland wins by more than 17.5 points in the Portland vs Phoenix Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 3 · 9:15 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 2:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 5:00 AM UTC
floor
17.5
ticker
KXNBASPREAD-26NOV04PORPHX-POR18
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 28 trades, 94% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
5m ago24¢79bought yes
15m ago10¢0.35bought no
15m ago11¢70bought no
15m ago11¢30bought no
17m ago7¢1bought no
18m ago8¢1bought no
23m ago8¢1.02bought yes
23m ago7¢93bought yes
23m ago8¢1,336bought yes
23m ago7¢500bought yes
23m ago8¢70bought yes
23m ago7¢1bought yes
25m ago6¢1bought no
27m ago7¢5.55bought yes
28m ago7¢1bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.