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NBA Spread·closes in 2d

Portland wins by over 19.5 points

24h volume
322
374 lifetime
Open interest
329
Spread
1¢
170 × 100 at the touch
24h range
–
20 recent trades
Chance of YES
11%−1

A YES contract costs 19¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
89%

costs 82¢

YES bid / ask
18¢ / 19¢
NO bid / ask
81¢ / 82¢
Recent buying60% YES · 40% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,22527¢
  • ask3,24926¢
  • ask1,05925¢
  • ask37924¢
  • ask1,50023¢
  • ask10021¢
  • ask1,76920¢
  • ask60019¢
spread1¢mid 18¢
  • bid9518¢
  • bid10017¢
  • bid10016¢
  • bid1,10015¢
  • bid1,50014¢
  • bid25013¢
  • bid2512¢
  • bid1,50011¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Portland wins by more than 19.5 points in the Portland vs Phoenix Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 3 · 9:15 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 2:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 5:00 AM UTC
floor
19.5
ticker
KXNBASPREAD-26NOV04PORPHX-POR20
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 20 trades, 60% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
4m ago11¢100bought no
4m ago11¢4.05bought yes
9m ago5¢1bought no
10m ago6¢1bought no
17m ago4¢1bought no
21m ago5¢1bought no
21m ago5¢1bought no
26m ago7¢1bought no
28m ago5¢1bought no
34m ago7¢1bought no
35m ago8¢1bought no
36m ago8¢1bought no
1h ago9¢182bought yes
3h ago9¢11bought no
18h ago10¢5bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.