NBA Spread·closes in 2d

Portland wins by over 23.5 points

24h volume
126
224 lifetime
Open interest
123
Spread
2¢
91 × 175 at the touch
24h range
–
19 recent trades
Chance of YES
14%

A YES contract costs 17¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
86%

costs 85¢

YES bid / ask
15¢ / 17¢
NO bid / ask
83¢ / 85¢
Recent buying1% YES · 99% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask7525¢
  • ask3,15724¢
  • ask80023¢
  • ask1,75022¢
  • ask120¢
  • ask1,50019¢
  • ask69018¢
  • ask17517¢
spread2¢mid 16¢
  • bid9115¢
  • bid57514¢
  • bid1,60013¢
  • bid2,00012¢
  • bid1,50010¢
  • bid3,0509¢
  • bid506¢
  • bid8,0005¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Portland wins by more than 23.5 points in the Portland vs Phoenix Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 3 · 9:15 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 2:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 5:00 AM UTC
floor
23.5
ticker
KXNBASPREAD-26NOV04PORPHX-POR24
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 19 trades, 1% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2m ago14¢98bought no
6m ago12¢2bought yes
18m ago5¢0.35bought no
19m ago3¢1bought no
20m ago3¢1bought no
27m ago3¢1bought no
31m ago3¢1bought no
31m ago3¢1bought no
35m ago5¢0.38bought no
35m ago5¢0.7bought yes
36m ago4¢1bought no
36m ago5¢1bought no
38m ago3¢1bought no
43m ago3¢1bought no
44m ago4¢1bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.