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NBA Spread·closes in 2d

Portland wins by over 27.5 points

24h volume
1,613
1,621 lifetime
Open interest
1,462
+1,462 over 24h
Spread
1¢
98 × 604 at the touch
24h range
1¢ – 7¢
49 recent trades
Chance of YES
7%

A YES contract costs 10¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
93%

costs 91¢

YES bid / ask
9¢ / 10¢
NO bid / ask
90¢ / 91¢
24h low 1¢24h high 7¢
Recent buying9% YES · 91% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢15¢volNov 4, 8:26 AMNov 5, 3:04 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2,89117¢
  • ask2,00016¢
  • ask1,78615¢
  • ask80014¢
  • ask4,00013¢
  • ask1,60012¢
  • ask2,10411¢
  • ask60410¢
spread1¢mid 9¢
  • bid989¢
  • bid1008¢
  • bid1,1007¢
  • bid3,5106¢
  • bid55¢
  • bid3,0554¢
  • bid10.5k3¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Portland wins by more than 27.5 points in the Portland vs Phoenix Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 3 · 9:15 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 2:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 5:00 AM UTC
floor
27.5
ticker
KXNBASPREAD-26NOV04PORPHX-POR28
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 49 trades, 9% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2m ago7¢7.8bought no
8m ago5¢14bought yes
18m ago2¢7.5bought no
18m ago2¢1bought no
19m ago1¢1bought no
20m ago1¢1bought no
27m ago1¢5.2bought no
27m ago1¢1bought no
27m ago1¢10bought yes
27m ago1¢10bought yes
30m ago1¢12bought no
30m ago1¢0.45bought no
30m ago1¢9bought no
30m ago3¢68bought yes
31m ago2¢1bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.