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NBA Spread·closes in 2d

Portland wins by over 3.5 points

24h volume
82.8k
87.5k lifetime
Open interest
59.5k
+57.0k over 24h
Spread
2¢
2,668 × 717 at the touch
24h range
35¢ – 77¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
74%+25

A YES contract costs 76¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
26%

costs 26¢

YES bid / ask
74¢ / 76¢
NO bid / ask
24¢ / 26¢
24h low 35¢24h high 77¢
Recent buying84% YES · 16% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
30¢40¢50¢60¢70¢80¢volNov 4, 3:01 AMNov 5, 3:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask8,00983¢
  • ask2,25782¢
  • ask2,14681¢
  • ask11.0k80¢
  • ask3079¢
  • ask2,00178¢
  • ask2,32577¢
  • ask71776¢
spread2¢mid 75¢
  • bid2,63074¢
  • bid58673¢
  • bid2,08572¢
  • bid80771¢
  • bid6,65470¢
  • bid1,84069¢
  • bid2,02768¢
  • bid4,00267¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Portland wins by more than 3.5 points in the Portland vs Phoenix Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 3 · 9:15 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 2:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 5:00 AM UTC
floor
3.5
ticker
KXNBASPREAD-26NOV04PORPHX-POR4
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 84% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
11s ago74¢37bought no
2m ago77¢5.91bought yes
2m ago75¢0.5bought yes
2m ago74¢24bought yes
2m ago73¢100bought yes
2m ago73¢53bought yes
2m ago74¢53bought yes
2m ago72¢3bought yes
2m ago74¢1bought yes
2m ago70¢100bought no
2m ago70¢75bought no
2m ago70¢78bought no
2m ago69¢63bought no
3m ago72¢3.65bought yes
5m ago63¢37bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.