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NBA Spread·closes in 2d

Portland wins by over 5.5 points

24h volume
10.7k
10.9k lifetime
Open interest
8,624
Spread
2¢
253 × 183 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
68%+20

A YES contract costs 72¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
32%

costs 30¢

YES bid / ask
70¢ / 72¢
NO bid / ask
28¢ / 30¢
Recent buying87% YES · 13% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask12979¢
  • ask25078¢
  • ask2,38877¢
  • ask6,09476¢
  • ask4875¢
  • ask1,60574¢
  • ask65773¢
  • ask22172¢
spread2¢mid 71¢
  • bid25370¢
  • bid63169¢
  • bid1,60068¢
  • bid6,07866¢
  • bid2,35565¢
  • bid2,76363¢
  • bid2,08461¢
  • bid36660¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Portland wins by more than 5.5 points in the Portland vs Phoenix Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 3 · 9:15 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 2:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 5:00 AM UTC
floor
5.5
ticker
KXNBASPREAD-26NOV04PORPHX-POR6
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 87% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1m ago68¢100bought yes
1m ago67¢100bought yes
4m ago67¢43bought no
6m ago69¢134bought yes
6m ago68¢305bought yes
6m ago69¢75bought yes
6m ago69¢57bought yes
6m ago69¢1bought yes
8m ago63¢13bought no
9m ago61¢1bought yes
10m ago61¢20bought no
10m ago61¢25bought no
12m ago59¢1bought yes
13m ago53¢3bought yes
13m ago53¢46bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.