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NBA Spread·closes in 2d

Denver wins by over 9.5 points

24h volume
429
584 lifetime
Open interest
342
Spread
1¢
175 × 166 at the touch
24h range
–
36 recent trades
Chance of YES
19%−23

A YES contract costs 17¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
81%

costs 84¢

YES bid / ask
16¢ / 17¢
NO bid / ask
83¢ / 84¢
Recent buying69% YES · 31% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask7528¢
  • ask1,00027¢
  • ask2,00026¢
  • ask824¢
  • ask1,75522¢
  • ask1,59719¢
  • ask8818¢
  • ask16617¢
spread2¢mid 16¢
  • bid17215¢
  • bid9614¢
  • bid1,58813¢
  • bid1,51610¢
  • bid1,4849¢
  • bid3,0018¢
  • bid3,6007¢
  • bid3,0006¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Denver wins by more than 9.5 points in the Toronto vs Denver Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 3 · 9:15 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 2:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 5:00 AM UTC
floor
9.5
ticker
KXNBASPREAD-26NOV04TORDEN-DEN10
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 36 trades, 69% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
34s ago19¢100bought no
34s ago19¢43bought no
1m ago22¢2bought yes
4m ago12¢1bought no
6m ago13¢1bought no
8m ago11¢1bought no
13m ago23¢1bought no
18m ago22¢1bought no
19m ago23¢1bought no
25m ago27¢1bought no
28m ago28¢1bought no
30m ago27¢1bought no
31m ago27¢1bought no
31m ago30¢0.3bought yes
36m ago25¢2bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.