NBA Spread·closes in 2d

Denver wins by over 10.5 points

24h volume
373
379 lifetime
Open interest
353
+116 over 7d
Spread
2¢
100 × 168 at the touch
24h range
18¢ – 32¢
36 recent trades
Chance of YES
22%

A YES contract costs 20¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
78%

costs 82¢

YES bid / ask
18¢ / 20¢
NO bid / ask
80¢ / 82¢
24h low 18¢24h high 32¢
Recent buying79% YES · 21% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

20¢25¢30¢35¢40¢volNov 5, 12:00 AMNov 5, 2:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2,00029¢
  • ask5,20028¢
  • ask527¢
  • ask2,25026¢
  • ask1,50025¢
  • ask1,60022¢
  • ask60021¢
  • ask16720¢
spread2¢mid 19¢
  • bid67518¢
  • bid2,10017¢
  • bid1,59816¢
  • bid1,75513¢
  • bid2,00012¢
  • bid1,30011¢
  • bid3,00010¢
  • bid3,4799¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Denver wins by more than 10.5 points in the Toronto vs Denver Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 3 · 9:15 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 2:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 5:00 AM UTC
floor
10.5
ticker
KXNBASPREAD-26NOV04TORDEN-DEN11
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 36 trades, 79% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
23s ago22¢1bought no
49s ago20¢1bought no
3m ago23¢1.25bought no
6m ago18¢1bought yes
7m ago20¢1bought no
13m ago24¢1bought no
16m ago25¢1bought no
18m ago24¢1bought no
19m ago24¢1bought no
20m ago24¢1bought no
24m ago22¢2bought yes
28m ago18¢1bought no
28m ago21¢1bought no
29m ago21¢1bought no
33m ago22¢0.1bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.