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NBA Spread·closes in 2d

Denver wins by over 19.5 points

24h volume
626
626 lifetime
Open interest
614
+614 over 30d
Spread
1¢
100 × 1 at the touch
24h range
2¢ – 14¢
39 recent trades
Chance of YES
2%

A YES contract costs 4¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
98%

costs 97¢

YES bid / ask
3¢ / 4¢
NO bid / ask
96¢ / 97¢
24h low 2¢24h high 14¢
Recent buying68% YES · 32% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢15¢volNov 4, 8:00 AMNov 5, 3:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask25018¢
  • ask5,30017¢
  • ask1,00016¢
  • ask2,05714¢
  • ask2,00013¢
  • ask25012¢
  • ask259¢
  • ask2,1015¢
spread3¢mid 4¢
  • bid2,0002¢
  • bid1001¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Denver wins by more than 19.5 points in the Toronto vs Denver Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 3 · 9:15 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 2:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 5:00 AM UTC
floor
19.5
ticker
KXNBASPREAD-26NOV04TORDEN-DEN20
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 39 trades, 68% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2s ago4¢1bought no
2s ago4¢99bought no
4m ago2¢1bought no
5m ago2¢1bought no
7m ago2¢1bought no
11m ago3¢1bought no
12m ago5¢1bought no
13m ago5¢1bought no
17m ago4¢1bought no
19m ago5¢1bought no
19m ago8¢100bought no
20m ago8¢2bought yes
21m ago7¢1bought no
21m ago7¢1bought no
21m ago7¢3bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.