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NBA Spread·closes in 2d

Denver wins by over 4.5 points

24h volume
106.4k
107.7k lifetime
Open interest
83.1k
Spread
1¢
75 × 132 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
36%−13

A YES contract costs 32¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
64%

costs 69¢

YES bid / ask
31¢ / 32¢
NO bid / ask
68¢ / 69¢
Recent buying85% YES · 15% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2,00739¢
  • ask1,80238¢
  • ask6,00237¢
  • ask836¢
  • ask1,62035¢
  • ask1,07534¢
  • ask9633¢
  • ask9432¢
spread1¢mid 31¢
  • bid7531¢
  • bid73430¢
  • bid1,50029¢
  • bid128¢
  • bid227¢
  • bid16.8k26¢
  • bid2,35125¢
  • bid2824¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Denver wins by more than 4.5 points in the Toronto vs Denver Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 3 · 9:15 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 2:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 5:00 AM UTC
floor
4.5
ticker
KXNBASPREAD-26NOV04TORDEN-DEN5
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 85% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
37s ago37¢100bought no
37s ago36¢100bought no
37s ago36¢75bought no
37s ago36¢54bought no
38s ago38¢60bought yes
38s ago38¢38bought yes
38s ago38¢99bought yes
1m ago35¢1bought yes
1m ago34¢1bought yes
1m ago34¢2bought yes
1m ago34¢2bought yes
2m ago30¢92bought yes
2m ago32¢93bought no
2m ago32¢75bought no
2m ago32¢51bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.