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NBA Spread·closes in 2d

Denver wins by over 4.5 points

24h volume
106.4k
108.4k lifetime
Open interest
83.4k
+83.1k over 30d
Spread
1¢
631 × 197 at the touch
24h range
25¢ – 54¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
36%−13

A YES contract costs 36¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
64%

costs 65¢

YES bid / ask
35¢ / 36¢
NO bid / ask
64¢ / 65¢
24h low 25¢24h high 54¢
Recent buying84% YES · 16% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
30¢40¢50¢60¢volNov 4, 12:00 AMNov 5, 3:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask6,00243¢
  • ask2,26342¢
  • ask241¢
  • ask2,02640¢
  • ask3,55039¢
  • ask1,10038¢
  • ask14237¢
  • ask19736¢
spread1¢mid 36¢
  • bid63135¢
  • bid1,92634¢
  • bid60033¢
  • bid3,50032¢
  • bid8,00131¢
  • bid4,27530¢
  • bid2,05729¢
  • bid10.0k28¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Denver wins by more than 4.5 points in the Toronto vs Denver Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 3 · 9:15 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 2:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 5:00 AM UTC
floor
4.5
ticker
KXNBASPREAD-26NOV04TORDEN-DEN5
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 84% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
47s ago36¢58bought yes
49s ago36¢38bought yes
49s ago35¢100bought yes
49s ago34¢100bought yes
49s ago34¢90bought yes
49s ago36¢8.7bought yes
49s ago36¢35bought yes
1m ago32¢91bought yes
1m ago32¢78bought yes
2m ago32¢94bought yes
2m ago37¢100bought no
2m ago36¢100bought no
2m ago36¢75bought no
2m ago36¢54bought no
2m ago38¢60bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.