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NBA Spread·closes in 2d

Denver wins by over 8.5 points

24h volume
1,605
1,609 lifetime
Open interest
1,518
+1,515 over 30d
Spread
1¢
575 × 92 at the touch
24h range
13¢ – 38¢
43 recent trades
Chance of YES
20%

A YES contract costs 22¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
80%

costs 79¢

YES bid / ask
21¢ / 22¢
NO bid / ask
78¢ / 79¢
24h low 13¢24h high 38¢
Recent buying46% YES · 54% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
10¢20¢30¢40¢volNov 4, 7:00 AMNov 5, 3:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask9,00031¢
  • ask2,01930¢
  • ask5,50528¢
  • ask6,25027¢
  • ask3,60025¢
  • ask1,11324¢
  • ask14723¢
  • ask9222¢
spread1¢mid 21¢
  • bid57521¢
  • bid2,09820¢
  • bid1,60019¢
  • bid4,00018¢
  • bid6,00517¢
  • bid3,50016¢
  • bid8,10015¢
  • bid35014¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Denver wins by more than 8.5 points in the Toronto vs Denver Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 3 · 9:15 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 2:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 5:00 AM UTC
floor
8.5
ticker
KXNBASPREAD-26NOV04TORDEN-DEN9
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 43 trades, 46% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
16s ago20¢2bought yes
17s ago20¢1bought yes
53s ago19¢0.75bought yes
3m ago15¢1bought no
4m ago15¢1bought no
6m ago13¢1bought no
7m ago16¢38bought yes
7m ago16¢82bought yes
7m ago16¢11bought yes
9m ago16¢1.9bought yes
17m ago24¢1bought yes
17m ago25¢98bought yes
18m ago26¢1bought no
21m ago30¢38bought yes
24m ago30¢1bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.